Probability Report WorksheetDirections: Complete the probability report workshee

Probability Report WorksheetDirections: Complete the probability report worksheet to help you with your calculations to create the APA report. 1. Choose one of the three scenarios:Probability of obtaining heads on a coin toss
Probability of rolling a 2 on a 6-sided die.
Probability of drawing a Jack from a deck of cards.
2. Calculate the theoretical probability for your chosen scenario. Show all work! Remember probability is the number of ways you can achieve the desired outcomes divided by the total number of outcomes. Then calculate the theoretical probability of your chosen scenario NOT happening. Ex: What is the probability of “Not Heads”? What is the probability of “Not rolling a 2”, etc.3. Complete 100 trials for your chosen scenario. Example: Flip a coin 100 times and record the outcome, roll a die 100 times and record the outcome, choose a card from a deck (with replacement) 100 times. 4. Create a table in Microsoft Word here and record your data. 5. Using the table you created in number 4, what is the experimental probability for your chosen scenario? 6. Using the table you created in number 4, what is the experimental probability for NOT achieving your chosen scenario? Example: What is the probability of “Not Heads”? What is the probability of “Not rolling a 2”, and so on. 7. Does your theoretical probability match your experimental probability? 8. Complete research on WHY your probabilities might not match or why they might match. *Be sure to cite your source*9. Using the concepts learned this week, what do you think would happen if you did 1,000 trials? *Be sure to cite your reading or lecture*Assignment InstructionsM7 Assignment: ProbabilityProbability ReportThe probability of an event can be determined in theory as well as in practice. In this project, you will use the formulas and methods in your readings to determine the theoretical probability. You will then conduct an experiment to see if the outcomes match what you expect to find with the theoretical probability.In this project you will:be able to calculate and interpret probability
be able to analyze and compare theoretical and experimental probabilities
To complete this project you will:Complete the Probability Report Worksheet to guide you in writing your APA report. Be sure to show all work!
Complete a 2-page, double-spaced, APA-formatted report. In the report you need to present your findings and explain your conclusions on experimental and theoretical probability. Thoughts to include in the report include: How are theoretical and experimental probability different? Why might the theoretical probability not match the experimental probability?
Be sure to cite your sources for the questions that require sources.
Length/Formatting InstructionsLength2 pages, 400-500 wordsFont12 point , Calibri Font, no more than 1″ marginsProgram/File TypeSubmit in WordAttachmentsShould be pasted into the Word document if possible.Referencing systemAPA referencing system is necessary in assignments, especially material copied from the Internet.For examples of correct citations, visit the following links:http://owl.english.purdue.edu/owl/resource/560/01/File NameM7 Assignment: Probability Report Grading RubricYour work will be evaluated on the following criteria:CATEGORYExceeds ExpectationsMeets ExpectationsDoes Not Meet ExpectationsSignificantly Below ExpectationsPresentation Style – Organization, Transitions, Tone (10 Points)10 pointsThe assignment is presented with excellent organization, thoughtful transitions, and the appropriate tone.8 pointsThe paper is adequately organized, but has some errors in the transitions or the tone.4 pointsThe paper is poorly organized, or it contains ineffective transitions and/or inappropriate tone.0 pointsThe paper displays little to no organization or transitions, and/or does not use the appropriate tone.APA Format – Citations and References (5 Points)5 pointsAll sources used for quotes and facts are credible and cited, and the references and in-text citations are all properly formatted. Each reference has an in-text citation and in-text citation has a reference.4 pointsAll sources used for quotes and facts are credible and cited, but slight errors are present in the format of the in-text citations or references. Or there may be one in-text citation or reference missing.2 pointsSome sources used for quotes and facts are either not credible or there are significant errors in the in-text citations and/or references. Or there are multiple missing in-text citations or references.0 pointsThe sources used for quotes and facts are not credible and/or not cited. The in-text citations and/or references are not present.Application to the Real World (40 points)40 pointsThe response indicates a high level application of probability. The paper demonstrates a complete understanding of the calculation of experimental probability. The paper addresses any inconsistencies with theoretical and experimental probability.32 pointsThe response indicates a basic application of probability. The response demonstrates a clear understanding and analysis of experimental probability. The paper addresses any inconsistencies with theoretical and experimental probability.16 pointsThe response indicates an incomplete application of probability. The response demonstrates a conceptual understanding and analysis of experimental probability. The paper addresses some inconsistencies with theoretical and experimental probability.0 pointsThe response indicates little or no application and analysis of probability.Accuracy (45 points)45 PointsThe entire assignment was completed with dedicated attention to the directions. Outstanding effort and work exceeds expectations. All work is shown and calculations are accurate.36 PointsMost of the assignment was completed with attention to the directions but some parts are missing. Good effort and work meets expectations. Most calculations are accurate.18 PointsAssignment was completed but attention to the directions was spotty or parts of the assignment are missing. Some effort was made and work meets minimal expectations. Only some calculations are accurate.0 pointsAssignment is incomplete and/or directions were not followed. Lacks many elements. Appears that little or no effort was made. Calculations are not accurate.
Requirements: 2-page double-spaced APA Style   |   .doc file

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